GATT-1947: A Living Legacy Fostering the Liberalization
of International Trade
William A. Kerr
Senior Associate, Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International
Trade
The rounds of GATT/WTO negotiations are often where the emphasis is
placed for progress on the liberalization of international trade. Given
that the last successful round was completed in 1994 and the Doha negotiations
have been stalled in 2008-2009, the prognosis for further liberalization
is often gloomy. While WTO negotiation rounds have been an important
facet of liberalization, other aspects of the multilateral trade architecture
are also important in fostering trade liberalization - but are often
overlooked. These institutional arrangements stem from the original
GATT-1947 but remain intact. It is argued that the institutional arrangements
for (1) non-discrimination, (2) recontracting and (3) accession also
foster liberalization. These institutional arrangements are explained
in the context of progress on international trade liberalization.
Keywords: accession, GATT, liberalization, most-favoured nation, recontracting,
WTO
GATT-1947: A Living Legacy Fostering the Liberalization
of International Trade
The world may not realise from the long and complex document, necessarily
technical in its terms, how much work and thought, negotiation and argument
have entered into it. What I think the world will realise is the difference
which the principles and provisions of this Charter, if adopted by the
nations, can make to world trade and to the standard of living of all
peoples as compared with the system which we knew in the nineteen thirties,
with its strangling restrictions, its measures of mounting economic
nationalism, and all that lurked behind these barriers in the form of
uneconomic vested interests.
Harold Wilson
Member of the Preparatory Committee
International Trade Organization
Geneva, August 23, 1947[1]
First let me answer the charge that the intention to create a new international
organization with ambitions that are little short of revolutionary in
the field of trade and commerce, is simply beyond practical possibility....
In answering this one may bear in mind that the experts of the 17 countries
which have evolved the draft Charter are by no means starry-eyed, impractical
theorists, they are the working experts of government departments, familiar
with all the day to day problems of world trade.
Eric Wyndham-White
Executive Secretary
Preparatory Committee of the United Nations
Conference on Trade and Employment
Geneva, August 25, 1947[2]
With the Doha Round of the World Trade Organization stalled for more
than a year at the beginning of 2010 and the accompanying gloom and glumness
that currently surround the multilateral institutional arrangements for
the conduct of international trade, it is important to revisit the enduring
trade-liberalizing principles and arrangements that underpin the WTO.
These have proven to be particularly robust over the 60-odd years since
they were conceived and formalized in the General Agreement on Tariffs
and Trade (GATT).
The negotiators and their political masters who were intent on creating
a new world order based on multilateral institutions in
the wake of the Great Depression and the Second World War had an ambitious
agenda - to create institutions that would prevent both the economic chaos
of the 1930s and war's destructiveness. For them, the sources of international
conflict were fourfold: (1) political confrontation that escaped from
the realm of diplomacy; (2) strategic devaluations; (3) large divergences
in standards of living; and (4) beggar-thy-neighbour restrictions
on international trade. To prevent war by keeping political confrontation
within the bounds of diplomacy, the United Nations was created. The United
Nations was the only post-Second World War multilateral institution with
a pre-war predecessor, the League of Nations. The United Nations attempted
to correct some of the major flaws of the League.
The other three organizations were without precedent. To reduce the need
for, and strategic use of, devaluation, the International Monetary Fund
was created. Divergence in standards of living was seen less as a development
problem than a source of international conflict - both poor countries
coveting the resources of the rich and the rich seeing the poor as easy
conquests. The Italian adventure in Ethiopia and Japan's invasion of China
were still very much in people's minds. The idea that there were different
classes of countries with different economic development trajectories
and constraints was not yet well recognized; rather, countries were seen
as being at different stages along the same path to becoming industrialized
and advanced. To transfer resources, first from countries relatively unscathed
by the Second World War to those devastated by it, and subsequently from
rich, advanced economies to poor, less-advanced economies, the International
Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) was established. Of course,
it is now better known as the World Bank.
The final organization, which had the objective of removing trade actions
as a source of international conflict, was the International Trade Organization
(ITO). The charter for this organization was hammered out between 1946
and 1948 with the final negotiations taking place in Havana, Cuba starting
in late 1947. The seriousness with which the delegations took the negotiations
can be seen from the hectic schedule in Havana, where the negotiations
ceased only for Christmas Day 1947 and continued even on New Year's Day
1948 and through until the Havana Charter was agreed in March 1948. The
expectations of the negotiators upon completion of the charter were summarized
by the chief delegate of the Republic of China, Dr. Wunz King, in a speech
delivered at the closing session of the Havana Conference on March 19,
1948:
Through the welter of no less than 800 amendments presented to the
Conference, we have produced something which is in fact the synthesis
of different schools of thought, and which is flexible enough for various
types of economies to wend their way into a common workable pattern
of trade relations.
In reading, through pages after pages of the Charter, I cannot but
feel that whatever its shortcomings, it does represent a delicately
balanced document. The obligations assumed under the provisions of one
section of the Charter are conditioned upon the fulfilment of those
in the other. The seemingly inconsistent obligations have been integrated
into a single whole in such a manner that the manifold interests are
well taken care of. All this is designed for the single purpose of the
promotion of the well-being of the people through the expansion of world
trade, the maintenance of full employment, and the encouragement and
achievement of economic development. The rights and obligations of the
Members are so interwoven that any upsetting of the balance will have
to be redressed by compensatory remedies (King, 1948).
According to Eric Wyndham-White (1947), quoted at the start of this article,
only 17 countries participated in the final negotiating process in Havana.
While the United States and the UK were very influential, a number of
other developed countries were heavily involved, including, in particular,
Australia, Czechoslovakia and Norway. A number of Latin American countries
were engaged in the process as well as host Cuba and Haiti from the Caribbean.
China and India also had an important presence. As Dr. King reports above,
there were more than 800 amendments put forward in the negotiating process.
Clearly, it was a very active negotiation process with a number of divergent
views. This small number of countries, however, managed to produce a set
of institutional structures to foster trade liberalization that have stood
the test of more than half a century and now bind more than 150 member
states of the WTO. It is not apparent whether the durability of the institutional
fostering of liberalization was by design or the result of serendipity,
but global economic performance over the long term has certainly benefitted.
Of course, while the U.S. Administration was heavily involved in negotiating
the ITO and signed off on its charter, subsequently it became apparent
that the charter would not be ratified by the U.S. Congress, and it was
never put forward to that body for approval - hence, the ITO was stillborn.
Its GATT sub-agreement, however, became the de facto multilateral
trade institution although legally it was a temporary organization with
its bureaucracy provided by the extension of the arrangement put in place
to provide administrative support for the ITO negotiations. The GATT began
with only 23 member countries.
The GATT-1947 had many shortcomings that were tinkered with through each
subsequent round of negotiations. Its major institutional shortcomings
had become particularly apparent by the time the launch of the Uruguay
Round was being contemplated, and during the round the new WTO was negotiated
and the GATT recast as a new agreement, the GATT-1994. The GATT as an
organization passed into history. Of course, the WTO, while an improvement
on the old GATT organization, still has a number of institutional problems.
The institutional arrangements that foster long-term liberalization were,
however, transferred largely intact into the new WTO and continue to exert
a major liberalizing influence on the global economy. While criticizing
the WTO almost constitutes an industry in itself, little is written about
the institution's ongoing contribution to liberalization.
There are three aspects of the WTO arrangements that stem from the original
GATT organization that are particularly important in fostering liberalization:
(1) non-discrimination; (2) recontracting; and (3) accession. The former
is quite often discussed, but seldom in conjunction with the latter two.
In many treatments of WTO principles and institutional arrangements the
importance of the recontracting and accession mechanisms for liberalization
are not even mentioned.
Non-discrimination has two major aspects: (1) the most-favoured-nation
principle and (2) national treatment. The most-favoured-nation principle
is the more important of the two in terms of broadly based liberalization.
National treatment means that member countries agree to treat goods of
foreign origin no differently than domestically produced goods - except,
of course, that tariffs and other trade barriers can be applied to them.
Hence, national treatment relates primarily to domestic regulatory and
taxation issues. As domestic legislation and regulatory regimes are generally
harder to control than commitments on trade barriers, the effect is somewhat
muted. Further, given that trade barriers can remain on goods accorded
national treatment, markets can remain closed even when national treatment
is respected.
The most-favoured-nation principle, on the other hand, fosters broadly
based liberalization. This principle was, however, more important in the
earlier negotiating rounds of the GATT, when tariff concessions were the
result of multiple bilateral offers. The most liberalizing concession
on a particular tariff line (or other trade barrier) wrested from a country
in the bilateral offer-counter offer process had to be extended to all
other member states. In essence, that meant that concessions on market
access arising from the weakest bilateral bargaining position became the
market access condition for all members. Institutionally, this is a very
strong mechanism to foster liberalization. Of course, over time access
that is better than most-favoured-nation access has been allowed in certain
circumstances - for developing countries under the Generalized System
of Preferences and for members of preferential trading arrangements. There
has, however, been no retreat from most-favoured nation as the underlying
principle for market access. As the number of member states has risen,
the bilateral offer-counter offer system has been to a certain degree
replaced by more formula-based negotiations regarding tariff concessions
whereby, for example, higher tariffs will be cut by a higher rate than
lower tariffs. These formula approaches apply, however, to the broadly
based negotiating rounds such as the Doha negotiations. The most-favoured-nation
principle, however, remains a major liberalizing force when combined with
the institutional arrangements for accession. This aspect of the most-favoured-nation
principle will be returned to later in the discussion of accession.
The recontracting process in the GATT, and subsequently the WTO, is a
very positive force for liberalization. What is central to the recontracting
process is that there can be no backtracking from previous commitments.
In other words, each Round of negotiations starts from where the
previous round left off and can only lead to further liberalization. Tariffs
are bound at previously agreed levels and can only be lowered in
the next round, never raised. Members who feel they have made a mistake,
or have given too much in previous rounds, cannot use subsequent rounds
to reverse what they have conceded previously. That means that the contracting
parties - the member states - can agree to a new round of negotiations
without fear of risking the concessions already achieved. This is not
the case, for example, with the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
(Kerr, 2002a). As a result, both Mexico and Canada fear re-opening the
NAFTA because they know that many in the U.S. Congress perceive that the
United States gave too many concessions in the original NAFTA negotiations
and would like to claw them back if the treaty were re-opened for negotiation
- recontracting is not confined to moving further along the path of liberalization.
Given their unequal bargaining power relative to the United States, Mexico
and Canada perceive agreeing to re-open the NAFTA for negotiation as far
too risky.
The result is that the NAFTA increasingly looks like a one shot deal
which has now been fully implemented and can yield no additional future
benefits. As a result, progress on further economic integration in North
America is stalled even if there might be considerable benefits from additional
liberalization. Further, enthusiasm for the entire North American project
has waned given the impasse, with the United States and Canada actively
looking elsewhere to find new partners for preferential trading arrangements
- in most cases with countries that have much less to offer in terms of
economic benefits given that they are more distant, often smaller and
have economies that will mesh less well than those of the United States
and Canada. Mexico increasingly sees its preferential access eroded as
the United States expands its trade agreements to Mexico's developing-country
competitors and perceives it has no way to further capitalize on the benefits
of deeper integration with the United States. Similar observations can
be made regarding a range of regional and preferential trading arrangements.
The no backsliding through recontracting is an institutional arrangement
that is still strongly supported by many members of the WTO. This has
been evident in the Doha Round, where an Indian proposal on the tariff
rates that could be applied in the proposed special safeguard would
have led, in certain circumstances, to tariff rates that would have exceeded
the current bound rates. This proposed backsliding became a major
issue in the negotiations and is blamed for the suspension of the round.
Other WTO members would not agree to any backsliding.
Of course, the recontracting process institutionalized in the WTO is
not automatic. The member states must approve the commencement of a new
round. Further, they must agree to an agenda for negotiation, meaning
that some aspects of the WTO may not be opened for negotiation. In the
Doha Round, for example, the Agreement on the Application of Sanitary
and Phytosanitary Measures and the Agreement on Technical Barriers to
Trade, among others, were not opened for further negotiations. It took
considerable pressure on the United States to have, for example, antidumping
opened under the Doha Round Rules negotiations (Kerr and Loppacher,
2004).
Of course, liberalization may also not take place because the member
states cannot come to an agreement. All eight GATT rounds were completed
successfully. Each successive GATT round tended to take longer than the
one before it - with the Uruguay Round taking from 1986-1994. Over time
both the complexity of the issues dealt with in the multilateral negotiations
and the number of countries participating in the negotiations have increased.
One would expect that both increasing complexity and more participants
would tend to extend the time that negotiations take. Given the unequal
technical capacity of the WTO member states, complexity may also make
reaching an agreement inherently more difficult (Kerr, 2007). The Doha
agenda has added a further degree of complexity and there are many more
member states than there were in 1994. Viewed in this light, the failure
to have, as yet, successfully concluded the Doha Round over the 2001-2009
period does not seem surprising. Of course, the Doha Round may fail and
liberalization from this source not arise. This does not alter the importance
of the institutional structure of the recontracting process as a positive
force for liberalization. By effectively making all previous concessions
sunk costs, the recontracting arrangement means that countries
evaluate a proposed new round solely from its potential for further liberalization,
and not as putting past concessions at risk.
Liberalization of the international economy, however, does not come solely
from the progress that is generated from the successful completion of
WTO negotiation rounds. Accession is also a major source of liberalization.
The process of accession built into the GATT, and subsequently the WTO,
does not require simply that countries desirous of becoming part of the
WTO accept the existing set of WTO rules, it requires also that countries
that wish to accede successfully negotiate the terms with existing members.
What the countries that were involved in the Havana Charter came up with
is typical of the understated nature of the drafting process:
A government not party to this Agreement, or a government acting on
behalf of a separate customs territory possessing full autonomy in the
conduct of its external commercial relations and of the other matters
provided for by this Agreement, may accede to this Agreement on its
own behalf or on behalf of that territory on terms to be agreed between
such government and the contracting parties [emphasis added] (Tariff
Agreement Committee, 1947).
Thus, the process of accession is a negotiation. It is a one-sided negotiation
process whereby countries that wish to accede to the WTO must grant concessions
from their pre-accession trade regime while the existing member states
of the WTO do not have to make any concessions. While countries that wish
to accede to the WTO often decry the inherent unfairness of this negotiation
process, it cannot be denied that it is a great liberalizing force. The
negotiations are bilateral - between the country wishing to accede and
individual existing member states. Once a bilateral agreement is reached
with one existing member, the concessions it has made to the one existing
member must then be extended to all other member states based on the most-favoured-nation
principle. In the process of accession, a number of these bilateral arrangements
will be negotiated, and in each case the concessions made extended to
all other members. In theory, a country could have to reach a bilateral
agreement with each existing member. In reality, negotiations with a few
major trading countries will yield benefits for most member states through
the most-favoured-nation principle. Once the accession negotiations are
completed and a new member state accepted, all existing members must extend
their most-favoured nation arrangements to the new member. Given that
the domestic trade regimes that apply to non-members are often much more
restrictive than those extended under most-favoured nation, liberalization
may be considerably enhanced.
While acceding countries may not like the process, many have chosen to
engage in it. Sometimes the negotiations are extremely difficult and politicized.
For example, China's accession process took more than 15 years and China
continues to chafe under its terms of accession (Kerr and Hobbs, 2001).
China, however, must have seen the benefits of membership as outweighing
the costs of the concessions it was forced to make. After all, a country
can choose at any point not to join the WTO. In China's case, prior to
accession its access to the U.S. market was reviewed each year, and keeping
its access required both economic and political concessions that China
found difficult to accept. Joining the WTO removed the ability of the
United States to capriciously threaten China's market on an annual basis
- the multilateral rules of the WTO were much preferred by China to the
domestic rules of the United States.
Thus, while the process of liberalization appears to have stalled over
the 1994-2009 period since the completion of the Uruguay Round, in fact
a great deal of liberalization has been taking place. More than 75 countries,
including China, have joined the WTO over the period. Each has liberalized
its trade regime to some extent as a result of the accession negotiations.
The cumulative liberalization is extensive.
Of course, with each new member, benefits of joining the WTO increase.
While the number of countries that existed was much smaller in 1947 -
decolonization had only just begun at that time - the rate of expansion
in membership from the original 23 members cannot be explained solely
by the arrival of new independent countries. The larger the size of the
club governed by WTO rules, the greater the benefits of being a member.
In addition, the rules are getting stronger. Membership rose only slowly
in the years after 1947 but has increased more rapidly in later years.
Of course, this process will slow as the number of countries remaining
outside the WTO becomes small (Kerr, 2002b). Still, Russia and some other
large economies such as Iran are not, as yet, members of the WTO.
The small number of countries that negotiated a set of rules for the
ITO, including the GATT, could not have envisioned a WTO of 150-plus members
- just as Henry Ford probably did not foresee the wide-ranging effects
mass market automobiles would have, from freeways, to air pollution to
junkyards. Like the automobile, trade liberalization has brought many
benefits, but the WTO's detractors have no shortage of problems they can
identify. The institutional architecture associated with the most-favoured-nation
principle, recontracting and accession has proved particularly robust
in fostering ongoing liberalization over the long term. While there have
been a large number of additions and changes to the multilateral agreements
and organization over time - some of which have worked well while others
have proved a disappointment - the trade-liberalizing institutional core
has been retained intact. It is often, however, forgotten and not well
understood.
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Endnotes
1. See Wilson, 1947. From a speech given upon the
completion of the draft charter of the International Trade Organization
(including the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade).[Back
to text]
2. See Wyndham-White, 1947. Eric Wyndham-White went
on to a long career as the first Executive Secretary of the General Agreement
on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) from 1948-1965 and then the first Director
General of the GATT from 1965-1968.
[Back to text]
The views expressed in this article are those of the author(s) and not those
of the Estey Journal of International Law and Trade Policy nor the
Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International Trade.
© Copyright 2010 The Estey Journal of International Law and Trade
Policy ISSN: 1496-5208
Suggested citation: Kerr, W.A., 2009. GATT-1947: A Living Legacy Fostering
the Liberalization of International Trade. The Estey Centre Journal
of International Law and Trade Policy 11(1), 1-11. Retrieved [date]
from the World Wide Web:
http://www.estey journal.com
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